![]() ![]() But given low engagement more generally among voters, it could have had an upside for the PCs.Ībacus's polling work showed that, heading into election day, the Tories were doing better than their rivals with older, middle-class and higher-income voters - groups that are typically most likely to vote. It's difficult to say with certainty who benefits most from low turnout, Coletto said. It also means the PCs sizeable majority was elected by just about 18 per cent of all the eligible voters in Ontario. But that vote share was more efficient, with the PCs picking up 83 seats, seven more than last time. Because they didn't really think either there'd be much difference in whoever won."įord's PCs won about 40.8 per cent of the popular vote share, which is actually down about 414,000 votes from the last election. And so there wasn't in their mind a really compelling reason to get engaged in this campaign, to find out about the alternatives, to learn about the issues. "The other factor, though, is the last two years have been incredibly exhausting to most people. "Despite all of the flux that our lives have been in, there wasn't really a need in many people's minds to change the government," Coletto said of the polling. Many others said that, whatever their feelings, they weren't strong enough to cast a vote against the party. Ontario has been through more than two years of a global pandemic, and the first 20 months of Progressive Conservative Premier Doug Ford's term were marred by a series of nepotism scandals and unprovoked political battles on multiple fronts.ĭavid Coletto, CEO of Abacus Data, said that his firm's polling suggests that Ford's handling of the pandemic proved to be a non-factor for a lot of potential voters, with many saying they felt the PCs did a decent job of steering the province. ![]() Continued abuse of our services will cause your IP address to be blocked indefinitely.The early data may be surprising for a lot of those who did cast a ballot this time around. Please fill out the CAPTCHA below and then click the button to indicate that you agree to these terms. If you wish to be unblocked, you must agree that you will take immediate steps to rectify this issue. If you do not understand what is causing this behavior, please contact us here. If you promise to stop (by clicking the Agree button below), we'll unblock your connection for now, but we will immediately re-block it if we detect additional bad behavior.
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